how likely is a plane crash

The likelihood of a plane crash is extremely low, especially for commercial air travel. Statistics indicate that the chance of a large, commercial airplane crashing is about 0.000001%, with the odds of being involved in any commercial airplane accident around 1 in 260,256. The specific chance of dying in a plane crash is about 1 in 816 million. To put this in perspective, flying is far safer than traveling by car, where the lifetime risk of dying in a car accident is approximately 1 in 93. Even with multiple flights, the probability of dying remains extraordinarily small, for example, a 1 in 204 million chance of dying within the next four flights. Private planes and smaller general aviation flights carry higher risks compared to commercial airlines. Overall, commercial airline travel is one of the safest modes of transportation available today.