The likelihood of a U.S. government shutdown is currently high as of late September 2025. Congress has not passed any of the 12 appropriations bills required to fund the government beyond the fiscal year starting October 1. Without an agreement on a full-year spending package or a temporary continuing resolution, a shutdown could begin on October 1. Political deadlock remains intense, with Republicans holding narrow majorities in both chambers but needing some Democratic support to pass funding due to the Senate filibuster rules. Democrats insist on including healthcare provisions in any stopgap measure, while Republicans favor a temporary funding extension without those concessions. President Trump has also canceled planned negotiations with Democratic leaders, escalating tensions and making compromise less likely. Agencies have been warned to prepare for shutdown impacts including furloughs and service delays. Given these factors, a government shutdown within days appears very probable unless a last-minute deal is reached.
