Texas does not register voters by party affiliation, but through analysis of primary voting behavior and other data, it is estimated that as of August 2025, there are about 8,133,683 likely registered Democrats in Texas, representing approximately 46.5% of the state's electorate. This data comes from L2, a leading voter data and analytics firm, which uses voter primary participation and demographic modeling to estimate party affiliation in this open primary state. Key points:
- Texas is an open primary state; party registration is not formally required.
- Party affiliation is inferred from voting in partisan primaries and modeled with demographic data.
- Estimated likely Democrats: 8,133,683 (46.5% of electorate).
- Estimated likely Republicans: about 6,001,190 (37.7%).
- Unaffiliated or independent voters: about 2,750,831 (15.7%).
This data gives a comprehensive view of the voter party landscape in Texas as of mid-2025, despite the state lacking formal party registration.
