A government shutdown is likely to cause delays and disruptions in flights primarily due to air traffic controllers and TSA agents being required to work without pay, leading to increased stress, absenteeism, and longer security lines at airports. Although commercial flights will continue to operate and airline employees are not furloughed, reduced staffing and halted hiring and training of new air traffic controllers can slow the efficiency of the aviation system and create backlog. Past shutdowns have shown that extended closures increase absenteeism among essential personnel, causing longer wait times, possible flight delays, and even temporary shutdowns of airport terminals.
Impact on Flights
- Air traffic controllers and TSA workers are considered essential personnel and must work without pay during a shutdown, which can lead to increased absences as financial pressures mount.
- Hiring and training of air traffic controllers will be suspended, exacerbating existing shortages in personnel and affecting operational efficiency.
- Passengers may experience longer wait times at security checkpoints and delays during flight takeoff and landing, as seen in previous shutdowns.
Operational Effects
- Airlines and aviation groups warn of a potential strain on the aviation system, leading to slower processing and possible cancellations if the shutdown is prolonged.
- Safety initiatives and modernization efforts by the FAA would be put on hold.
- Economic losses for the travel industry could reach about $1 billion per week due to decreased efficiency and reduced travel volume.
Historical Context
- During the 35-day shutdown in 2018-19, increased absences and security delays led to reduced air traffic in key airports, prompting swift political action to resume funding.
- Similar outcomes are expected if the current shutdown occurs, including longer airport lines and disrupted travel plans.
In summary, flights will still operate during a government shutdown, but passengers should expect longer lines, potential delays, and a generally slower travel experience due to staffing challenges and halted FAA operations.
