If the Packers lose today, it mostly affects their playoff seeding and chances of winning the NFC North, not their entire season. Their odds of a top seed drop a lot, but their overall playoff chances remain strong.
NFC North impact
A loss would likely drop the Packers behind the Chicago Bears in the NFC North standings or tighten the race significantly, depending on how Chicago and Detroit perform in their games. This makes it harder to win the division and increases the chance that Green Bay enters the postseason as a wild card instead of a division winner.
Playoff odds and seeding
Model-based playoff simulators show that a single loss at this stage cuts Green Bay’s odds of earning the No. 1 seed down to around 1–2%, while still leaving them with a high overall probability of making the playoffs. Their chance to win the division also dips, generally falling from a solid favorite position to more of a coin flip versus the Bears.
Other consequences
Losing today also means the Packers have less margin for error in remaining games; they may need to win most or all of their final matchups to secure a home playoff game. Media and fan pressure on the coaching staff and key players typically increases after a high‑profile loss, especially if injuries or late‑game mistakes are involved.
