Pakistans chances of reaching the semi-finals of the 2023 World Cup depend on the outcomes of their matches and those of other teams. Here are the scenarios that could see Pakistan qualify for the semi-finals:
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If Pakistan defeats England and Sri Lanka beats New Zealand, Pakistan will accumulate 10 points, surpassing New Zealand by two. To solidify their position, Pakistan would need either Australia or South Africa to defeat Afghanistan, preventing them from reaching 10 points. However, if Afghanistan wins both of their matches, Pakistans fate will depend on Net Run Rate.
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If both Pakistan and New Zealand lose their last league matches and stay on eight points, then even one victory will be enough for them to qualify, without bringing run rates into play.
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Pakistan can still qualify for the semi-finals despite England batting first, mathematically at least. However, their chances looked better, though still not at all good, if batting first, when a victory in the region of 287 runs would have been enough to see them progress. Batting second, England making even 200 would see Pakistan needing above six runs per ball to exceed New Zealand’s Net Run Rate.
In summary, Pakistans chances of reaching the semi-finals depend on a combination of their performance in their match against England, the outcome of the Sri Lanka vs. New Zealand match, and the results of other teams matches.
