The consequences of Ukraine losing the war against Russia are complex and far-reaching, and there is no clear answer. However, the following are some possible outcomes that have been discussed:
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Continued fighting: Even if Ukraine loses the war, it is unlikely to give up the fight as long as its territory is under occupation. This could lead to a prolonged conflict with significant loss of life and displacement of people.
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Nuclear weapons development: Some experts have suggested that an undefeated but abandoned Ukraine could invest all available resources into the war, including efforts to develop nuclear weapons.
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Inability to join NATO and EU: If Ukraine is forced into a "non-victory" situation and a ceasefire, where a part of its territory would remain under occupation, it will certainly not be able to join NATO and the EU, and no one will invest in it.
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Refugee crisis: If Ukraine loses the war, hundreds of thousands of people could die and another 15-20 million could join refugee camps in Europe.
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Russian aggression towards others: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has warned that if Ukraine loses, Russia could rebuild its military capabilities and attack other countries.
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Policy decisions: How the war evolves in the coming months and even years could suddenly demand momentous and agonizing policy decisions, most of which will have far-reaching consequences.
It is important to note that these are just some of the possible outcomes, and the situation is complex and constantly evolving.