when will we know if the government shuts down

The government shutdown is expected to happen at midnight on October 1, 2025, if Congress does not pass a funding bill or continuing resolution before the deadline. The federal fiscal year 2025 funding runs out at that time, and without an agreement to extend funding, many government services will cease operation starting then. Lawmakers have been negotiating, but as of now, there appears to be a high likelihood of shutdown unless last-minute agreements are reached by the end of the day October 1, 2025.