The most recent and credible expert predictions and the latest fight outcome indicate that Terence Crawford is the slight favorite or at least very competitive against Canelo Alvarez. While Canelo is favored by many due to his size, power, and experience at super middleweight, Crawford’s adaptability, speed, and counter-punching skills provide him a strong chance to win by decision. Many experts mention Crawford’s smart boxing style, ability to switch stances, and strategic approach as key advantages over Canelo. Canelo is expected to use his size and pressure tactics, but concerns remain about his stamina and power at this weight class compared to Crawford’s speed and boxing IQ. Most notably, the fight that took place on September 13, 2025, ended with Terence Crawford upsetting Canelo Alvarez by unanimous decision to win the undisputed super middleweight titles, showing that Crawford won the match.
Summary of Key Points:
- Canelo Alvarez is the bigger, stronger fighter with a solid chin and good power, favored by many to win.
- Terence Crawford has speed, adaptability, and is a smart counter-puncher, capable of outboxing Canelo.
- Experts were divided but slightly leaned towards Crawford to win by decision.
- The recent actual fight result: Crawford won by unanimous decision, a slight upset confirming expert leanings toward him.
Therefore, Terence Crawford is currently the most likely winner if matched against Canelo Alvarez based on expert predictions and the actual recent fight result.
