Aaron Judge of the New York Yankees is currently the favorite to win the 2025 American League MVP award, with betting odds around -200 and an implied probability of about 66.67%. He leads the league in significant offensive categories, including batting average (.329), on-base percentage (.453), slugging percentage (.679), runs scored, home runs (48 so far), RBIs (103), and WAR (8.6). Judge is vying for his third AL MVP and fifth Silver Slugger and is regarded as the top hitter in the league this season. Cal Raleigh of the Seattle Mariners is his closest competitor, holding odds of around +145. Raleigh is having a historic offensive season for a catcher, with 56 home runs—a single-season record for the position—and 118 RBIs with a .247/.360/.588 slash line. Raleigh briefly led the betting odds during Judge's injury absence but currently remains the runner-up. The MVP race is exceptionally tight, but overall projections and odds favor Aaron Judge to win the 2025 AL MVP by a narrow margin.
