The war in Ukraine is widely predicted by experts and analysts to not have a clear and definitive end in 2025. The conflict is complex with many actors and deep-rooted issues, making a quick resolution unlikely. Some political analysts suggest that a ceasefire or significant reduction in fighting might occur in early 2025 through diplomatic efforts potentially involving the US administration and direct talks between the Kremlin and Kyiv. However, such a ceasefire would likely only lead to a frozen conflict without a comprehensive political settlement, keeping Ukraine in a fragile state between war and rebuilding. Key points about the potential end of the war in 2025 include:
- Former US President Donald Trump and others have expressed optimism about imposing a ceasefire and slowing fighting in early 2025, although the political settlement process thereafter could stall.
- Russia insists on keeping control over annexed Ukrainian territories such as Donetsk, Luhansk, Zaporizhzhia, Kherson, and Crimea. This stance blocks meaningful peace negotiations without major concessions.
- Analysts say the war could only end if one side is exhausted economically and militarily or achieves a decisive battlefield victory, both of which are currently unlikely.
- Public opinion in many countries is pessimistic about the war ending in 2025, with most people doubting a prompt resolution.
In summary, the prevailing view is that while the intensity of fighting may decrease and some diplomatic initiatives may emerge in 2025, the war in Ukraine is unlikely to fully end next year and will probably persist as a prolonged conflict with political and military deadlock.
