who will win lions or cowboys

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Nature

The Detroit Lions are favored to win against the Dallas Cowboys in their NFL Week 14 Thursday Night Football matchup on December 4, 2025, at Ford Field.

Game Context

Both teams vie for NFC playoff positioning, with the Lions hosting after a Thanksgiving loss to Green Bay and the Cowboys riding a three-game win streak fueled by defensive improvements. The Lions lead the all-time series recently, including a 47-9 rout last year, but injuries like Detroit's Amon-Ra St. Brown and Dallas's potential Trevon Diggs return add uncertainty.

Expert Predictions

  • Dimers' 10,000 simulations give Lions a 60% win chance, projecting 28-25.
  • Sporting News' Bill Bender picks Lions 28-24; others vary, with some favoring Cowboys 30-27 or 24-20.
  • Additional models assign Lions 72% odds, though Vegas sees a close fight with Lions -3 spread.

Key Factors

Lions hold home advantage and offensive edge, but Cowboys' momentum and secondary health could keep it tight. Total points lean over 54.5 in some views due to explosive plays. Outcomes remain unpredictable given injuries and trends.