No team has officially won the AFC East yet, but the New England Patriots are currently the clear favorite. Recent standings show the Patriots leading the division at 11–3, with the Buffalo Bills close behind at 10–4 and the Dolphins and Jets well back in the race.
Current outlook
With only a few weeks left in the regular season, the division has effectively become a two‑team race between the Patriots and Bills. New England also holds key tiebreaker advantages, including a better divisional record, which gives the Patriots an inside track if the teams finish with the same overall record.
Most likely winner
Because of their current lead, tiebreaker edge, and favorable remaining schedule noted in recent analyses, the Patriots are the most likely team to win the AFC East this season. However, it is not mathematically clinched yet, so there is still a path—though narrower—for the Bills to steal the division if New England stumbles down the stretch.
