Sportsbooks and prediction models heavily favor the Cowboys in this matchup, but no one can know the actual winner in advance.
Betting odds and models
Multiple analytic models give the Cowboys roughly a 69–75% chance to win against the Vikings, reflecting simulations run thousands of times. Betting markets list Dallas as around a 5–5.5 point favorite, which means oddsmakers expect them to win more often than not but not by a huge blowout on average.
Predicted scores
Several independent previews project a Cowboys win by about one score, with example projected finals like 27–21 or 27–23 in favor of Dallas. These projections factor in current offenses, defenses, injuries, and home-field advantage at AT&T Stadium.
What this means for you
All of this points to the Cowboys being the statistical favorite, not a guaranteed winner. Upsets happen often in the NFL, so the Vikings still have a real, if smaller, chance to win the game.
